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why do the authors think it is OK to use 1850s prices to measure what autarky prices would have been in 1869 (in particular, why do they think Assumption 4 in Section 3 is reasonable)?

  In their JPE article, Bernhofen and Brown use the change in prices in Japan from the early 1850s to 1869 to measure the difference between international trade prices and autarky prices. What is the main finding in Figure 4? In what sense is this a test of the...