s you progress through the modules of the course, you are learning how the United States Intelligence Community operates as it pertains to the 5-Disciplines of Intelligence Collection. For this assignment, you will have an opportunity to deal with a real national intelligence collection issue, the Iranian nation’s ability to acquire or build a nuclear weapon, and their ability to successfully launch and detonate it against the United States or one of our allies.
You will assume the role of a DNI analyst and you will be tasked to conduct an open source analysis of the Iranian threat. Next, you will assemble an intelligence collection plan in which you appropriately task the members of the United States Intelligence Community. During the approximate 4-weeks that you will have to complete this assignment, the course instructor may decide to interject through class announcements “intelligence” updates. It will be your responsibility to decide whether or not these updates need to be addressed which may require that you also alter your collection plan/analysis.
icons_thinking.png Research Paper 2: Fact Scenario
After extensive experience as an Analyst within the United States Intelligence Community, you applied for a detailee position with the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) as an National Intelligence Collection Officer via the IC Joint Duty Program Website. Pursuant to the job posting the position calls for the following Major Duties and Responsibilities (MDRs):
Serve as the principal collection subject matter expert responsible for supporting the DDNI/II and the National Intelligence Manager (NIM)/Near East in developing and leading the execution of a Unifying Intelligence Strategy (UIS). Partner with the IC’s NIM/Near East community in advancing the mission and assessing progress against key intelligence gaps identified in the UIS.
Lead strategic collection initiatives and requirements development to ensure UIS alignment with National Intelligence Priorities Framework objectives and organizational missions and goals.
Coordinate with Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) elements and with other agencies engaged in collection activities to advance joint actions and ensure alignment of programs, procedures, and guidelines.
Serve in a leadership role in aligning and integrating the IC collection enterprise’s total array of collection capabilities against the Nation’s most important strategic intelligence issues for the Near East.
Foster and cultivate strategic alliances and professional networks with interagency partners and other community elements to ensure adequate resource availability and priority attention on the Integrated Mission Strategy and National Intelligence Strategy mandates, in support of the NIM/Near East.
Balance long-term, enduring requirements against current issues and trade-offs while also documenting opportunity costs across the collection enterprise, in support of the NIM/Near East.
Lead Community base lining of the current collection capabilities for countries and issues in the NIM/Near East area of responsibility. Baseline collection postures should include background information and input from collector organizations describing current collection efforts in addition to plans and recommendations to enhance collection.
Work to support NIM/Near East in the formulation of fiscal year budget builds and other budget matters in support of IC collection initiatives.
Lead the NIM NE NICO team and the IC in aligning and integrating the collection enterprise’s total array of collection capabilities against the most important strategic intelligence issues for the Near East.
Develop integrated collection strategies for respective mission areas. Conduct analysis and provide recommendations on “cross-target tradeoffs”.
The posting also specified the following Mandatory and Educational Requirements:
Expert knowledge of and broad experience with addressing intelligence collection-related issues, and in-depth expertise on (US national) domestic, defense and foreign partners’ intelligence collection organizations, programs, and capabilities.
Expert working knowledge and experience with multiple collection disciplines including, but not limited to, SIGINT, MASINT, HUMINT, OSINT and GEOINT.
Superior ability to successfully lead senior-level interagency teams or bodies to achieve decisive results.
Current TS/SCI with CI polygraph Security Clearance
The posting also stated the following Desired Requirements:
Prior experience as a senior-level collection expert, manager, senior level analyst, or technical expert.
Prior experience with multiple intelligence source disciplines and working in a cross-domain environment.
Prior work experience focused on Near East analysis or collection-related issues.
Congratulations, you have been hired as the National Intelligence Collection Officer, Near East, within the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI). The ODNI’s core mission is to lead the United States Intelligence Community (IC) in intelligence integration and forging a community that delivers the most insightful intelligence possible. Intelligence integration means synchronizing collection, analysis, and counterintelligence so that they are fused, effectively operating as one team. You have been assigned to the National Counterproliferation Center (NCPC). The NCPC is one of four integration centers under the ODNI. The other three integrations centers are the National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC), the Cyber Threat Intelligence Integration Center (CTIIC), and the National Counterintelligence and Security Center (NCSC).
During your on-board training, you learned that the National Counterproliferation Center was founded in 2005 based on recommendations from the Congressional Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) Commission the same year and direction from the Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004. Its mission is to lead the Intelligence Community and interagency to prevent the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, their delivery systems, related technologies and expertise. The NCPC helps counter threats against the United States from the proliferation of chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear weapons and missiles capable of delivering them. The NCPC integrates the counterproliferation efforts of the entire Intelligence Community to ensure that the US Government is postured to protect the country from Weapons of Mass Destruction. The NCPC is a small, diverse group of Officers drawn from across the IC and devoted to integrating the IC’s efforts. You further learn that the NCPC promotes innovative solutions to counter proliferation and posture the US Government and its partners to anticipate emerging threats and challenges.
You further learn that the NCPC works with the Intelligence Community (IC) to identify critical holes in our WMD knowledge – resulting from shortfalls in collection, analysis, or exploitation – and then develops solutions to reduce or close these gaps. In conjunction with the policy community, NCPC also helps to identify long-term proliferation threats and requirements, and develops strategies to ensure that the IC is positioned to address these over-the-horizon threats. The NCPC drives whole-of-government actions to implement US policy objectives. To do this, NCPC depends not only on the 16 agencies of the IC, but also partners with experts across the US Government and in the private sector.
The NCPC advances the broader objectives of the US counterproliferation mission by the following:
Discourage interest by states, terrorists or armed groups in acquiring, developing or mobilizing resources for WMD purposes
Prevent or obstruct state, terrorist or other efforts to acquire WMD capabilities, or efforts by suppliers to provide such capabilities
Roll back or eliminate WMD programs of concern
Deter weapons use by those possessing nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons and their means of delivery
Mitigate the consequences of any use of WMD against the United States or its allies.
How the NCPC accomplishes the above is as follows:
Conceptualize and implement strategies to provide top-level direction and priorities to focus the IC’s counterproliferation efforts
Sponsor campaigns to accelerate progress against our most intractable WMD challenges
Promote (and often kick-start) high-risk/high-payoff initiatives that benefit the entire community
Ensure vital programs/infrastructure are appropriately maintained and resourced
Identify/overcome any obstacles hindering collaboration among IC Counter Proliferation elements
During a recent briefing, the Deputy DNI for Intelligence Integration advised that the President informed his cabinet that he feared that the Government of Iran would join North Korea as a rouge nation with nuclear weaponry capability. He wanted to ensure that the IC was doing everything possible to prevent and counter the spread of WMDs, and that the United States Government was prepared to respond to any scenario involving the possibility of Iran possessing nuclear weapons. The Director is meeting with the members of the IC and White House staff to update the IC requirements for our national security. In anticipation of this, the Deputy DNI has instructed you to prepare a draft collection plan that encompasses the entire IC and concentrates on the mission and asset management of the second (Determine Resource Availability and Capability) and third (Task Resources) stages of the collection plan. He also asked that you perform a preliminary OSINT collection prior to tasking the IC along the 5 Disciplines of Intelligence Collection. The Deputy DNI asked that you be specific in assessing the capabilities and tasking of the IC as it pertains to the Iranian capabilities. He further advised that although the Department of Defense oversees multiple IC organizations, such as the Defence Intelligence Agency, the National Security Agency, the National Reconnaissance Organization, and the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency, you must task the specific agency.
USE APA 6th Edition, American English, Demonstrate Graduate level writing, Very specific and detailed.
Please USE the following:
The 5 Disciplines of Intelligence Collection, Mark M. Lowenthal and Robert M. Clark (2016) Sage Publication.
The Art of Intelligence-Lessons from a Life in the CIA’s Clandestine Service, Henry A. Crumpton (2012) Penguin Books.
USE any official documents on OSINT,HUMINT, SIGINT, GEOINT, and MASINT
In addition, please put together 3 powerpoint slides to correspond to a video presentation I will be doing. These slides can only be of a demonstrative nature (i.e., pictures, graphs) to supplement your video and not words/script that are read off the slide.
The 8 pages do not include the cover page nor reference sheet
