For
your final paper, you will write an Intelligence Assessment of your AQAP.
What is the potential threat of AQAP to the US or US allies?
Outline:
Title
Executive Summary
One
paragraph includes: BLUF, 3 concepts (or concept clusters), and a short “so what?”
This paragraph may be followed with bullet points of key judgements or
evidence. Remember to update the executive summary to reflect changes in the
final product.
Backgrounder
Approximately
one page: basic information about AQAP to orient the reader. Current status,
approximate number of members, location. Who, Where, What, When, How?
Grievance, Ideology, Goals, historical target and tactic, history of conflict
and Counter Terrorism.
(Concept 1) Subtitle
BLUF & summary
Evidence & Discussion
Conclusion and “So what?”
(Concept 2) Subtitle
BLUF & summary
Evidence & Discussion
Conclusion and “So what?”
(Concept 3) Subtitle
BLUF & summary
Evidence & Discussion
Conclusion and “So what?”
Conclusion Summary of above
Forecasting and additional insights
Counter- Terrorism – DO NOT PRESCRIBE POLICY
Unanswered questions
Format
6-7
pages
Single-spaced
12-point
font
Times
New Roman
May
include graphics (maps, charts) if they support your BLUFs, must be titled and
cited
Citations
should be in-text APA using citation management
Substance: Use three concepts from our class to explain why AQAP is
a threat or security concern to the U.S or its Allies. Identify opportunities
for Counter Terorism.
Defining
terrorism, historical trends, delegitimation (Sprinzak), grievance, relative
depravation, social justice (Galtung), goals, ideology: Leftist theory (Marx),
the religious Right (Christian Identity or Jihadist), Right-Wing (nationalism,
white supremacy), media, narrative (Halverson), messaging, hermeneutics,
recruitment, counterterrorism, peace interventions, negotiation, moral
disengagement (Bandura)/radicalization, deradicalization, social identity,
social network theory (Sageman), CT, negotiations, CVE, formers.
Also
possible: capabilities, financing, tactics. Topics covered in other classes.
Some Materials include:
1. National Strategy for Counterterrorism
of the United States of America.
(2018). https://www.dni.gov/index.php/nctc-newsroom/item/1911-white-house-releases-national-strategy-for-counterterrorism (Links
to an external site.)Links to an external site.
Sterio, M. (2012). The United States’ Use of
Drones in the War on Terror: The (Il)legality of Targeted Killings Under
International Law. Case Western Reserve Journal of International Law, 45(1
& 2), 197–214. The United States Use of Drones in the War on Terror The
(Il)le(1)(1).pdf
